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SoftBank profit falls 18% but crushes forecasts as an Intel windfall masks its AI losses

by TechDefused Newsroom
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SoftBank reported net profit of around $2.2 billion for the June quarter, down about 18% on a year earlier but far ahead of the roughly $760 million that analysts had expected.

The scale of the beat, nearly triple the forecast, owed almost everything to a single lucky holding rather than the artificial intelligence bets that now define the group.

That holding was Intel.

SoftBank, the Japanese technology investment group led by Masayoshi Son, booked a gain of about $8.3 billion on its Intel shares after the American chipmaker's stock rallied sharply over the past year.

The wider division that houses those holdings, its non-Vision Fund investments, delivered segment profit of close to $6.7 billion, and effectively carried the quarter.

In other words, the headline profit was rescued by a legacy semiconductor stake, not by the AI vision Son keeps promoting.

Vision Funds barely registered

The investment vehicles once at the centre of SoftBank's identity contributed almost nothing.

The Vision Funds posted a profit of just around $34 million, a rounding error against the group's overall result.

Even that slim figure leaned on a roughly $14 million rise in the value of its stake in ByteDance, the owner of TikTok, which offset falls elsewhere in the portfolio.

The weakness of the funds underlines how far SoftBank's fortunes have shifted away from the sprawling start-up bets of a few years ago.

Notably, the company said it recorded no gain or loss from OpenAI this quarter, leaving its single largest AI wager sitting quietly on the balance sheet with no mark either way.

AI arm is bleeding

The clearest sign of the strain came from the business Son is most eager to talk about.

The group's AI computing segment swung to a loss of about $1.3 billion.

SoftBank blamed higher research and development costs at the chip companies it owns, including the British designer Arm along with Graphcore and Ampere.

That is the awkward reality beneath the upbeat framing, that building an AI hardware empire is, for now, a heavily loss-making enterprise.

The quarter's profit came from an old chip stake appreciating, while the new chip businesses consumed cash.

Son stays committed

None of this has dented the founder's conviction.

"This is the biggest revolution of technology and realization that mankind ever experienced," Son said, restating his appetite for AI and semiconductor bets.

The numbers behind that rhetoric are enormous, with SoftBank having pledged to invest more than $60 billion in OpenAI and roughly $55 billion already deployed.

That commitment continues to reshape the group's balance sheet, and it is the reason SoftBank has been repeatedly returning to debt markets, including a recently secured $10 billion loan backed by the OpenAI stake itself.

The picture from this quarter is therefore a study in contrasts.

A strong profit beat, driven by a fortunate bet on Intel, sat alongside deepening losses in the AI computing division that is meant to be the future.

For a company that has staked its identity on artificial intelligence, the uncomfortable truth in these figures is that the money, this time, came from almost everywhere else.

by TechDefused Newsroom